Friday, February 24, 2012
Graduates of for-profits have higher default rates and lower earnings and employment than peers, study finds
Six years after they enter college, students from for-profit institutions are employed at lower rates and earn between $1800 and $2000 a year less than their peers.
For profit college students also have significantly higher default rates. Among students in the data set who had racked up between $5,000 and $10,000 in cumulative student-loan debt by 2009, 26 percent of those from for-profit colleges had defaulted, while 10 percent of those from community colleges and 7 percent of those from nonprofits had done so. As the level of debt increased to $20,000, the discrepancies grew wider: The default rate among for-profit-college students was 16 percent, compared with 3 percent for community-college students and 2 percent for those from four-year colleges.
The study is linked here.
Friday, February 17, 2012
Wednesday, February 15, 2012
Frontier's announcement illustrates the bankruptcy of Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker's business climate strategy that relies on reducing tax rates and eliminating environmental and labor regulations.
Shortly after he was inaugurated, Walker declared: "Wisconsin is open for business."
The Wisconsin Manufacturers and Commerce (WMC) press release entitled "Wisconsin Business Climate Improves in 2011, Manufacturing Income Tax Phase Out Fosters High-wage Job Creation" boasted: "Wisconsin’s business climate improved dramatically this year as Governor Scott Walker and the Legislature approved historic pro-growth reforms that will foster long-term economic growth."
Yet, since Walker's budget was enacted on July 1, 2011, Wisconsin has lost jobs for six straight months, a dismal record that is unmatched by any other state.
The business climate strategy is based on the false assumption that marginal cuts in business costs drive investment and job creation.
But businesses don't invest or create jobs because state government cuts marginal tax rates or eliminates regulations. Firms invest and hire in response to increased demand for their products or services. Or, like Frontier, they cutback when they lose market share.
The Walker administration, by enacting an austerity budget that reduces wages and public employment, has caused demand to decline in Wisconsin. As a result, Wisconsin has lost jobs for six straight months even as the national economy has added 3.7 million payroll jobs over the last twenty-three months.
Walker's draconian cuts to local government and to public schools ($1.2 billion), technical colleges (30%) and the university system ($250 million) have reduced public employment as workers are laid off and positions go unfilled.
Last year Wisconsin lost a higher percentage of its state government employees than any other state, according to the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics. As public employment declines as a result of layoffs and retirements, discretionary income and demand have also declined.
Finally, Act 10, Walker's anti-union budget repair bill, dramatically reduced the take home pay of all public employees, reducing demand and consumption by more than $700 million-a-year.
The Federal Reserve of Philadelphia released the leading indexes for the 50 states for December 2011. The indexes are a six-month forecast. Forty-four state coincident indexes are projected to grow over the next six months, while only six including Wisconsin are projected to decrease.
Wisconsin's job losses and economic trajectory stand in sharp contrast to the national economy that created 225,000 jobs last month alone. This graph from Econbrowser demonstrates how poorly Wisconsin compares to the U.S economy.
Wisconsin Governor Walker based his campaign for Governor on a promise to create 250,000 private sector jobs.
Walker's policies are not working.
Saturday, February 11, 2012
Thursday, February 9, 2012
Wednesday, February 8, 2012
A little-known California law will bar nearly half of the for-profit college campuses in the state from offering students a coveted Cal Grant this year.
The law cracks down for the first time on schools with high student loan default rates, meaning graduates aren't paying back the money they owe even three years after leaving school. 25% of the schools being shiut down are owned by Corinthian College, Inc. which operates Everest College.
"It's a sign that the institution did not prepare them for a job so they could repay their loan," said Robert Shireman, who, as deputy undersecretary of education in the Obama administration, oversaw reforms in student lending.
Now, California is tying participation in the Cal Grant program to colleges' three-year student loan default rates.
No public campuses are affected by the law, SB70, because none has the toxic combination of a high percentage of borrowers where at least 1 in 4 defaults.
But 40 percent of California's "private Career colleges" do. Of 165 such campuses in the state, 67 have three-year default rates of at least 24.6 percent, the legal cutoff.
They include some or all campuses of popular colleges many of which have campuses in Milwaukee: Everest, Carrington (formerly Western Career College), Kaplan, ITT Technical Institute, WyoTech, Heald and more.
"I'm mad. This pretty much ruined my credit," said Rigo Herrera, who owes $37,000 on a $27,000 federal loan he took out for a pre-nursing program at Everest College in Alhambra (Los Angeles County). He graduated from the 12-month program in 2008 but said he didn't learn enough to pass the license test and get a job.
"If they're getting punished, that makes me happy," said Herrera, who is in default.
The new law is supposed to punish such schools by depriving them of students who get Cal Grants.
"It's about getting their house in order, aiming them away from overaggressive promises they can't keep," Shireman said.
Students at for-profit colleges get about $4,000 to $10,000 in state aid on average, depending on the type of grant. When SB70 took effect this fall, about 4,900 students applying to for-profit colleges suddenly became ineligible or were offered a partial grant if they were already enrolled, according to the California Student Aid Commission.
The commission doesn't know what happened to most students at the affected schools but says at least 597 switched schools or withdrew.
Corinthian Colleges targeted
Corinthian Colleges owns more than one-fourth of the schools booted from the Cal Grant program.
All 14 of its Everest Colleges - including those in San Francisco, Hayward and San Jose - were barred. Depending on the campus, 30 to 45 percent of borrowers are in default. Not everyone at Everest applies for a Cal Grant, mainly because some programs last just 10 months. But about 320 students were eligible to receive a total of $756,000 last year.
Corinthian also owns nine Heald Colleges. Those in Fresno and Stockton had default rates high enough to cost them their Cal Grants. More than 1,300 students at the two campuses were eligible to receive $6.2 million last year.
Corinthian's WyoTech campuses in Fremont and Long Beach were also kicked out of Cal Grants. There, 122 students were eligible to receive $186,000 in state aid last year.
Company spokesman Kent Jenkins downplayed the Cal Grant loss, calling its impact muted.
"At the same time, we recognized that Corinthian's default prevention programs were not adequate," he said.
So the company "invested tens of millions of dollars" to reduce default rates, Jenkins said. It bought technology to keep track of graduates and hired staff to better communicate with students about their financial obligations.
Three campuses that lost access to the Cal Grants are owned by ITT Educational Services, in which University of California Regent Dick Blum is an investor. His firm, Blum Capital Partners, invested almost $239 million as of September.
For-profits aren't the only schools to lose access to Cal Grants. Nine nonprofit private colleges also lost them, including Patten University, a Christian school in Oakland.
For more on SB70 and schools affected by the law, see links.sfgate.com/ZLGZ and links.sfgate.com/ZLGY.
Wednesday, February 1, 2012
The Walker administration's job creation strategy is based on two erroneous
The first is that tax rates drive investment and business location decisions.
There are no credible studies that support this position.
Surveys of business executives indicate that tax rates are far less
than demand for a firms' product or services, access to markets,
labor, and the proximity to supplier chains. Tax breaks
they have little impact on the fundamental
determinants of a
I have written about this elsewhere so won't belabor the point. President
George W. Bush's first Secretary of Commerce and former Alcoa CEO,
Paul O'Neil, summed it up nicely when he told Congress:"As a
businessman, I never made an investment decision based on the Tax Code. ..
(I)f you are giving money away I will take it. If you want to give me
inducements for something I am going to do anyway, I will take it. But
good business people do not do things because of inducements, they do
it because they can see that they are going to be able to earn the cost of
capital out of their own intelligence and organization of resources."
Walker's second article of faith is that onerous government regulations
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has examined this claim and its
findings reject it.
The BLS studied layoffs, job losses, and UI claims that employers report
are due to government regulations or interventions. They are miniscule—
in only one case in the table below did they ever account for more than
half of one percent. And in the most recent quarter, they were all about
zero (technically, the number reported was too small to meet BLS
Source: BLS, Table 2
The problems facing Wisconsin and the nation are not due to high
business or personal tax rates (effective rates in the U.S. are lower
than those in virtually all advanced countries and Wisconsin's business
taxes rank in the bottom half of all states) or "job killing regulations."
The problem we face is inadequate demand, a byproduct of the nation's